Panevezys II 1-3 Minija — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 21 Jun 2024

📅21/06/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.84
Draw
20%
3.54
Away
45%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.21
Over 2.5
46%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.5
No
56%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
21%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+3.3pp
20%
Draw
25%
-5.2pp
45%
Away Win
44%
+1.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
41%
+12.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
59%
-12.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
62%
-18.6pp
56%
BTTS No
38%
+18.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Panevezys II EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Minija EU Bookmakers 48%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.32/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.21
+2% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -13%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
324 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 0.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Panevezys II
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Minija
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
64% Ball Possession 36%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.10.2023 Minija Minija 4-1 HT 1-0 Panevezys II Panevezys II LIT1
22.05.2023 Panevezys II Panevezys II 1-2 HT 1-2 Minija Minija LIT1
09.07.2022 Minija Minija 2-1 HT 1-0 Panevezys II Panevezys II LIT1
21.03.2022 Panevezys II Panevezys II 0-0 Minija Minija LIT1
POST-MATCH Panevezys II vs Minija
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Minija saw off Panevezys II 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Minija as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Minija led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Panevezys II and 2.00 for Minija.

What was the final score of Panevezys II vs Minija?

Panevezys II 1-3 Minija in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 21/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Panevezys II vs Minija?

Before kick-off our model rated an Minija win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Panevezys II 35%, draw 20%, Minija 45%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Minija) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Minija) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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