Sporting CP II 0-1 Chaves — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 13 Mar 2026

Sporting CP II
0-1 HT 0-0
Chaves
📅13/03/2026 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Portugal - 2nd Division – 2025/2026

Sporting CP II vs Chaves Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.46
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
38%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
1.74
Over
52%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
56%
1.81
No
44%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2.79
2-3
40%
1.7
4-5
23%
3.72
6+
11%
16.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
20%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 56% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
+0.3pp
25%
Draw
28%
-3.3pp
38%
Away Win
35%
+3.1pp
48%
Under 2.5
54%
-5.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
46%
+5.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
51%
+4.9pp
44%
BTTS No
49%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sporting CP II v Chaves — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting CP II EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Chaves EU Bookmakers 38%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -9%
1.22/2.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.39
-2% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +21%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
312 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
12.4 Crosses 14.5
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.9

Sporting CP II vs Chaves Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting CP II
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Chaves
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.75 xG 0.68
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
316 Passes 399
86% Pass Accuracy 85%
5 Crosses 26
The Meetings
23.11.2025 Chaves Chaves 0-0 HT 0-0 Sporting CP II Sporting CP II POR2
25.11.2015 Chaves Chaves 1-0 HT 0-0 Sporting CP II Sporting CP II POR2
25.02.2015 Sporting CP II Sporting CP II 1-1 HT 0-0 Chaves Chaves POR2
23.03.2014 Chaves Chaves 2-3 HT 1-1 Sporting CP II Sporting CP II POR2

Sporting CP II 0-1 Chaves — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting CP II
0-1
AWAY Chaves
0.50 xG 1.49
46% Ball Possession 54%
4 Total Shots 11
0 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 3
349 Passes 346
85% Pass Accuracy 83%
13 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Sporting CP II vs Chaves
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chaves nicked a narrow win over Sporting CP II 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 25% / 38%) promised a tight game; Chaves found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sporting CP II had 46% of the ball to Chaves's 54%, shots finished 4-11, expected goals 0.50 to 1.49.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sporting CP II and 1.00 for Chaves.

What was the final score of Sporting CP II vs Chaves?

Sporting CP II 0-1 Chaves in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 13/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting CP II vs Chaves?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chaves win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Sporting CP II 37%, draw 25%, Chaves 38%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chaves) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chaves) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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