Chaves 0-0 Sporting CP II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 23 Nov 2025

📅23/11/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.05
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.78
Over 2.5
50%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.76
No
48%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.93
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
3.69
6+ Goals
10%
15.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
45%
-0.6pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.3pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+3.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.0pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chaves EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting CP II EU Bookmakers 32%
-7% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +9%
1.47/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.06/1.44
-18% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +57% / +49%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
317 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.2 Crosses 9.6
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chaves
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Sporting CP II
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
25.11.2015 Chaves Chaves 1-0 HT 0-0 Sporting CP II Sporting CP II POR2
25.02.2015 Sporting CP II Sporting CP II 1-1 HT 0-0 Chaves Chaves POR2
23.03.2014 Chaves Chaves 2-3 HT 1-1 Sporting CP II Sporting CP II POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chaves
0-0
AWAY Sporting CP II
0.68 xG 1.75
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 9
0 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 1
399 Passes 316
85% Pass Accuracy 86%
26 Crosses 5
POST-MATCH Chaves vs Sporting CP II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chaves and Sporting CP II fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Chaves at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Chaves had 53% of the ball to Sporting CP II's 47%, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 0.68 to 1.75.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Chaves and 1.33 for Sporting CP II.

What was the final score of Chaves vs Sporting CP II?

Chaves 0-0 Sporting CP II in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chaves vs Sporting CP II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chaves win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Chaves 44%, draw 24%, Sporting CP II 32%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Chaves) ✗ BTTS Yes
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