Porto II 1-0 Portimonense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 23 Nov 2025

📅23/11/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
33%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.9
Over 2.5
52%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.7
No
44%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.25
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
24%
3.39
6+ Goals
10%
12.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
44%
-2.1pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.5pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+3.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
49%
-0.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
51%
+0.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
55%
+0.7pp
44%
BTTS No
45%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Porto II EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Portimonense EU Bookmakers 33%
-11% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -15%
1.48/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.54
-10% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -36%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
307 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
20.8 Crosses 16.4
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Porto II
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Portimonense
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.60 xG 1.31
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
286 Passes 262
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
15 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
11.05.2025 Portimonense Portimonense 0-3 HT 0-2 Porto II Porto II POR2
12.01.2025 Porto II Porto II 1-2 HT 1-1 Portimonense Portimonense POR2
09.08.2015 Porto II Porto II 1-2 HT 0-0 Portimonense Portimonense POR2
08.03.2015 Porto II Porto II 0-1 HT 0-0 Portimonense Portimonense POR2
01.10.2014 Portimonense Portimonense 2-0 HT 0-0 Porto II Porto II POR2
12.01.2014 Porto II Porto II 2-0 HT 1-0 Portimonense Portimonense POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Porto II
1-0
AWAY Portimonense
1.48 xG 0.71
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
314 Passes 362
80% Pass Accuracy 87%
20 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Porto II vs Portimonense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Porto II squeezed past Portimonense 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Porto II as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Porto II had 46% of the ball to Portimonense's 54%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 1.48 to 0.71.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Portimonense led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Porto II and 1.17 for Portimonense.

What was the final score of Porto II vs Portimonense?

Porto II 1-0 Portimonense in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Porto II vs Portimonense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Porto II win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Porto II 42%, draw 25%, Portimonense 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Porto II) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Porto II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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