Porto II vs Portimonense Prediction — Model Probabilities
Porto II v Portimonense — Team-Based Signals
Porto II vs Portimonense Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
Porto II 1-2 Portimonense — Actual Match Statistics
Portimonense came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Porto II 2-1 on the road. Level at 1-1 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Porto II at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 48% and both teams to score at 53%, coin-flips both.
On the day, possession split 67% to 33% in Porto II's favour, shots finished 12-7, expected goals 1.83 to 1.26 — on chances, Porto II could feel hard done by.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Portimonense led the recent series with 3 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.75 a game for Porto II against 1.25 for Portimonense.
Porto II vs Portimonense Result & Final Score
Porto II 1 - 2 Portimonense in the Portugal - Liga Portugal 2 on 12/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Porto II vs Portimonense Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Porto II win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Porto II 46%, draw 29%, Portimonense 25%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Porto II), Under 2.5 went the other way.