Porto II vs Portimonense Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Porto II v Portimonense — Team-Based Signals
Porto II vs Portimonense Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-0
Portimonense
POR2
0-1
HT 0-0
Portimonense
POR2
2-0
HT 0-0
Porto II
POR2
2-0
HT 1-0
Portimonense
POR2
Porto II 1-2 Portimonense — Actual Match Statistics
Portimonense nicked a narrow win over Porto II 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Porto II at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Porto II had 67% of the ball to Portimonense's 33%, shots finished 12-7, expected goals 1.83 to 1.26 — the balance of chances actually favoured Porto II.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Portimonense led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Porto II and 1.25 for Portimonense.
What was the final score of Porto II vs Portimonense?
Porto II 1-2 Portimonense in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 12/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Porto II vs Portimonense?
Before kick-off our model rated a Porto II win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Porto II 41%, draw 28%, Portimonense 30%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.