Leixoes 1-1 Torreense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 12 Jan 2025

📅12/01/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.19
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.56
Over 2.5
38%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.99
No
58%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.29
2-3 Goals
38%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
4.7
6+ Goals
7%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-2.8pp
32%
Draw
29%
+2.3pp
29%
Away Win
29%
+0.5pp
62%
Under 2.5
60%
+1.4pp
38%
Over 2.5
40%
-1.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
46%
-3.8pp
58%
BTTS No
54%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leixoes EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Torreense EU Bookmakers 32%
-1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +8%
1.25/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.19
+0% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
308 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.3 Crosses 18.7
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leixoes
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Torreense
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
0.74 xG 0.77
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
306 Passes 349
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 4
14.04.2024 Leixoes Leixoes 1-1 HT 0-1 Torreense Torreense POR2
03.12.2023 Torreense Torreense 0-0 HT 0-0 Leixoes Leixoes POR2
22.04.2023 Torreense Torreense 2-0 HT 1-0 Leixoes Leixoes POR2
05.11.2022 Leixoes Leixoes 1-0 HT 1-0 Torreense Torreense POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leixoes
1-1
AWAY Torreense
0.68 xG 1.04
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 7
211 Passes 260
70% Pass Accuracy 76%
23 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Leixoes vs Torreense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leixoes and Torreense couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 32% / 29% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Leixoes had 47% of the ball to Torreense's 53%, shots finished 8-10, expected goals 0.68 to 1.04.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Leixoes and 0.75 for Torreense.

What was the final score of Leixoes vs Torreense?

Leixoes 1-1 Torreense in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 12/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leixoes vs Torreense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leixoes win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Leixoes 39%, draw 32%, Torreense 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Leixoes), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Leixoes) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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