Alverca vs Tondela Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alverca v Tondela — Team-Based Signals
Alverca 1-1 Tondela — Actual Match Statistics
Alverca and Tondela shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Tondela at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Alverca had 57% of the ball to Tondela's 43%, shots finished 9-11, expected goals 0.77 to 1.72.
What was the final score of Alverca vs Tondela?
Alverca 1-1 Tondela in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 12/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alverca vs Tondela?
Before kick-off our model rated an Tondela win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Alverca 31%, draw 24%, Tondela 45%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.