Felgueiras 1932 1-0 Paços De Ferreira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 12 Jan 2025

📅12/01/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.89
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.74
Over 2.5
43%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.88
No
56%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
36%
2.76
2-3 Goals
36%
1.71
4-5 Goals
18%
3.79
6+ Goals
10%
17.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.76 — our 36% vs market 28.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-3.9pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.8pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+2.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.8pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.4pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Felgueiras 1932 EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Paços De Ferreira EU Bookmakers 27%
-40% / -40% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / +1%
0.72/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.17
-45% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -17%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
298 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
10.9 Crosses 19.7
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Felgueiras 1932
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Paços De Ferreira
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 3
24.07.2024 Paços De Ferreira Paços De Ferreira 4-4 HT 2-2 Felgueiras 1932 Felgueiras 1932 HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Felgueiras 1932
1-0
AWAY Paços De Ferreira
2.38 xG 1.64
39% Ball Possession 61%
1 Total Shots 17
1 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 9
59 Passes 310
74% Pass Accuracy 78%
6 Crosses 29
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Felgueiras 1932 vs Paços De Ferreira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Felgueiras 1932 squeezed past Paços De Ferreira 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Felgueiras 1932 as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Felgueiras 1932 had 39% of the ball to Paços De Ferreira's 61%, shots finished 1-17, expected goals 2.38 to 1.64.

What was the final score of Felgueiras 1932 vs Paços De Ferreira?

Felgueiras 1932 1-0 Paços De Ferreira in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 12/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Felgueiras 1932 vs Paços De Ferreira?

Before kick-off our model rated a Felgueiras 1932 win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Felgueiras 1932 45%, draw 28%, Paços De Ferreira 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Felgueiras 1932), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Felgueiras 1932) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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