Paços De Ferreira 4-4 Felgueiras 1932 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 24 Jul 2024

📅24/07/2024 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.9
Over 2.5
51%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
5%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-2.9pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.2pp
31%
Away Win
31%
+0.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
49%
+0.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
51%
-0.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.5pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paços De Ferreira EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Felgueiras 1932 EU Bookmakers 34%
+28% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-42% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
373 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paços De Ferreira
4-4
AWAY Felgueiras 1932
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Paços De Ferreira vs Felgueiras 1932
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paços De Ferreira and Felgueiras 1932 shared the points in a 4-4 draw. Half-time: 2-2. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (40% / 29% / 31%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Paços De Ferreira had 51% of the ball to Felgueiras 1932's 49%, shots finished 11-11.

What was the final score of Paços De Ferreira vs Felgueiras 1932?

Paços De Ferreira 4-4 Felgueiras 1932 in the Friendlies on 24/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paços De Ferreira vs Felgueiras 1932?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paços De Ferreira win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Paços De Ferreira 40%, draw 29%, Felgueiras 1932 31%. The final score 4-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Paços De Ferreira) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Paços De Ferreira) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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