Manchester City 3-4 Celtic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 24 Jul 2024

Manchester City
3-4 HT 1-3
Celtic
📅24/07/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Friendlies – 2024/2025

Manchester City vs Celtic Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.0
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
35%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
2.61
Over 2.5
66%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.39
No
43%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
5.99
2-3 Goals
35%
2.07
4-5 Goals
31%
2.57
6+ Goals
17%
5.76
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.67
1/2 EV+ ✗
7%
28.5
1/X
6%
12.55
X/1
12%
5.12
X/2
13%
7.34
X/X
10%
6.11
2/1
8%
20.9
2/2
14%
4.36
2/X
6%
12.75
Value flag · 1/2 at 28.5 — our 7% vs market 1.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-3.1pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.7pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+4.8pp
34%
Under 2.5
35%
-1.0pp
66%
Over 2.5
65%
+1.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
68%
-10.9pp
43%
BTTS No
32%
+10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Manchester City v Celtic — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manchester City EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Celtic EU Bookmakers 33%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
2.81/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.15/0.88
+74% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +71% / +70%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
406 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 80%
43.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
16.0 Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards –

Manchester City vs Celtic Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Manchester City
1W-3D-0L
AWAY Celtic
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
486 Passes 318
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
The Meetings
06.12.2016 Manchester City Manchester City 1-1 HT 1-1 Celtic Celtic ŞMP
28.09.2016 Celtic Celtic 3-3 HT 2-2 Manchester City Manchester City ŞMP
08.08.2009 Manchester City Manchester City 2-1 HT 1-1 Celtic Celtic HAZ
06.08.2008 Celtic Celtic 1-1 HT 0-0 Manchester City Manchester City HAZ

Manchester City 3-4 Celtic — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Manchester City
3-4
AWAY Celtic
1.70 xG 2.51
47% Ball Possession 53%
16 Total Shots 12
9 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
384 Passes 434
89% Pass Accuracy 90%
31 Box Touches 25
7 Crosses 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Manchester City vs Celtic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celtic squeezed past Manchester City 4-3 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Manchester City at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Manchester City had 47% of the ball to Celtic's 53%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 1.70 to 2.51.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Manchester City had the better of it with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Manchester City and 1.50 for Celtic.

What was the final score of Manchester City vs Celtic?

Manchester City 3-4 Celtic in the Friendlies on 24/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manchester City vs Celtic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Manchester City win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Manchester City 43%, draw 22%, Celtic 35%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Manchester City) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Manchester City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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