Leixoes 1-1 Torreense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
33%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.71
Over 2.5
42%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.82
No
55%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.86
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.09
6+ Goals
8%
19.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.86 — our 32% vs market 29.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
43%
-2.7pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.4pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+4.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
55%
+3.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
45%
-3.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.0pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leixoes EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Torreense EU Bookmakers 32%
-7% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.26/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.17
-21% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
333 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
25.5 Crosses 19.5
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leixoes
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Torreense
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.69 xG 0.73
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
293 Passes 356
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
14 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 4
03.12.2023 Torreense Torreense 0-0 HT 0-0 Leixoes Leixoes POR2
22.04.2023 Torreense Torreense 2-0 HT 1-0 Leixoes Leixoes POR2
05.11.2022 Leixoes Leixoes 1-0 HT 1-0 Torreense Torreense POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leixoes
1-1
AWAY Torreense
0.91 xG 0.87
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
342 Passes 328
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
21 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Leixoes vs Torreense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leixoes and Torreense shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Leixoes had 53% of the ball to Torreense's 47%, shots finished 10-9, expected goals 0.91 to 0.87.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Leixoes and 0.67 for Torreense.

What was the final score of Leixoes vs Torreense?

Leixoes 1-1 Torreense in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leixoes vs Torreense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leixoes win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Leixoes 40%, draw 26%, Torreense 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Leixoes), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Leixoes) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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