Mafra 0-0 CD Feirense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
28%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.9
Over 2.5
43%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.73
No
56%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
34%
3.36
2-3 Goals
37%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
3.52
6+ Goals
9%
13.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.36 — our 34% vs market 24.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-1.1pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.3pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+0.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
49%
+8.7pp
43%
Over 2.5
51%
-8.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
54%
-9.9pp
56%
BTTS No
46%
+9.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mafra EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Feirense EU Bookmakers 31%
-8% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +0%
1.46/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.40
-10% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +12%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
310 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
22.3 Crosses 16.7
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mafra
1W-2D-3L
AWAY CD Feirense
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.84 xG 0.81
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
425 Passes 252
83% Pass Accuracy 75%
24 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
04.12.2023 CD Feirense CD Feirense 3-2 HT 3-0 Mafra Mafra POR2
22.10.2023 Mafra Mafra 3-1 HT 1-0 CD Feirense CD Feirense POK
26.02.2023 Mafra Mafra 1-1 HT 1-1 CD Feirense CD Feirense POR2
04.09.2022 CD Feirense CD Feirense 0-0 HT 0-0 Mafra Mafra POR2
23.01.2022 CD Feirense CD Feirense 1-0 HT 0-0 Mafra Mafra POR2
14.08.2021 Mafra Mafra 0-1 HT 0-0 CD Feirense CD Feirense POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mafra
0-0
AWAY CD Feirense
0.87 xG 0.26
73% Ball Possession 27%
11 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
546 Passes 138
86% Pass Accuracy 58%
22 Crosses 12
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Mafra vs CD Feirense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mafra and CD Feirense fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Mafra at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Mafra had 73% of the ball to CD Feirense's 27%, shots finished 11-7, expected goals 0.87 to 0.26.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CD Feirense led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Mafra and 1.17 for CD Feirense.

What was the final score of Mafra vs CD Feirense?

Mafra 0-0 CD Feirense in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mafra vs CD Feirense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mafra win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Mafra 45%, draw 27%, CD Feirense 28%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Mafra) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mafra) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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