Portimonense 0-3 Porto II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - 2nd Division, 11 May 2025

📅11/05/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.08
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
46%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.86
Over 2.5
53%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.68
No
47%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
29%
+0.5pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.6pp
46%
Away Win
42%
+3.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
50%
-3.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
50%
+3.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.2pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portimonense EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Porto II EU Bookmakers 46%
+5% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +0%
1.23/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/1.35
+35% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -27%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
276 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.1 Crosses 18.7
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Portimonense
4W-0D-1L
AWAY Porto II
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
1.26 xG 1.83
40% Ball Possession 60%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
147 Passes 416
66% Pass Accuracy 84%
12 Crosses 24
5 Yellow Cards 2
12.01.2025 Porto II Porto II 1-2 HT 1-1 Portimonense Portimonense POR2
09.08.2015 Porto II Porto II 1-2 HT 0-0 Portimonense Portimonense POR2
08.03.2015 Porto II Porto II 0-1 HT 0-0 Portimonense Portimonense POR2
01.10.2014 Portimonense Portimonense 2-0 HT 0-0 Porto II Porto II POR2
12.01.2014 Porto II Porto II 2-0 HT 1-0 Portimonense Portimonense POR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portimonense
0-3
AWAY Porto II
1.36 xG 1.37
69% Ball Possession 31%
13 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
376 Passes 157
85% Pass Accuracy 69%
22 Crosses 6
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Portimonense vs Porto II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Porto II ran out comfortable winners over Portimonense 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Porto II as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Portimonense had 69% of the ball to Porto II's 31%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 1.36 to 1.37.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Portimonense had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Portimonense and 0.80 for Porto II.

What was the final score of Portimonense vs Porto II?

Portimonense 0-3 Porto II in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portimonense vs Porto II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Porto II win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Portimonense 29%, draw 25%, Porto II 46%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Porto II), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Porto II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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