Torreense vs Leixoes Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Torreense v Leixoes — Team-Based Signals
Torreense vs Leixoes Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
0-0
HT 0-0
Leixoes
POR2
2-0
HT 1-0
Leixoes
POR2
1-0
HT 1-0
Torreense
POR2
Torreense 3-2 Leixoes — Actual Match Statistics
Torreense squeezed past Leixoes 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Torreense as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Torreense had 52% of the ball to Leixoes's 48%, shots finished 26-11, expected goals 2.19 to 0.81 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Torreense's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Torreense and 0.60 for Leixoes.
What was the final score of Torreense vs Leixoes?
Torreense 3-2 Leixoes in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Torreense vs Leixoes?
Before kick-off our model rated a Torreense win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Torreense 50%, draw 27%, Leixoes 23%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Torreense) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.