Tondela vs Alverca Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tondela v Alverca — Team-Based Signals
Tondela vs Alverca Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
Tondela 1-2 Alverca — Actual Match Statistics
Alverca edged past Tondela 2-1 away from home.
We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 30% / 35% — and on the day Alverca made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Tondela had 52% of the ball to Alverca's 48%, shots finished 19-6, expected goals 2.01 to 0.67 — the balance of chances actually favoured Tondela.
What was the final score of Tondela vs Alverca?
Tondela 1-2 Alverca in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 11/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tondela vs Alverca?
Before kick-off our model rated a Tondela win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Tondela 35%, draw 30%, Alverca 35%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.