Kelty Hearts 1-0 Stirling Albion — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 13 Apr 2024

Kelty Hearts
1-0 HT 1-0
Stirling Albion
📅13/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Scotland - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Kelty Hearts vs Stirling Albion Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.25
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
32%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.03
Over 2.5
49%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.86
2-3 Goals
46%
1.83
4-5 Goals
22%
3.18
6+ Goals
8%
10.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
41%
+1.4pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.2pp
32%
Away Win
34%
-1.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
45%
+5.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
55%
-5.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.4pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kelty Hearts v Stirling Albion — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kelty Hearts EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Stirling Albion EU Bookmakers 37%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -11%
1.25/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.30
-24% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -48% / +16%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
308 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Kelty Hearts vs Stirling Albion Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kelty Hearts
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Stirling Albion
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
9 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
The Meetings
27.01.2024 Stirling Albion Stirling Albion 5-0 HT 1-0 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK1
28.10.2023 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 1-0 HT 0-0 Stirling Albion Stirling Albion İK1
26.08.2023 Stirling Albion Stirling Albion 1-0 HT 0-0 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK1
09.04.2022 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 1-1 HT 1-1 Stirling Albion Stirling Albion İK2
08.01.2022 Stirling Albion Stirling Albion 0-3 HT 0-1 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK2
30.10.2021 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 1-1 HT 0-0 Stirling Albion Stirling Albion İK2
POST-MATCH Kelty Hearts vs Stirling Albion
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kelty Hearts squeezed past Stirling Albion 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Kelty Hearts as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kelty Hearts and 1.33 for Stirling Albion.

What was the final score of Kelty Hearts vs Stirling Albion?

Kelty Hearts 1-0 Stirling Albion in the Scotland - 1st Division on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kelty Hearts vs Stirling Albion?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kelty Hearts win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Kelty Hearts 42%, draw 25%, Stirling Albion 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kelty Hearts), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kelty Hearts) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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