Stirling Albion 5-0 Kelty Hearts — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.38
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
37%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.78
Over 2.5
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.97
2-3 Goals
35%
1.75
4-5 Goals
26%
3.81
6+ Goals
8%
16.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.65
1/2
8%
30.5
1/X
6%
13.3
X/1
10%
5.28
X/2
14%
5.51
X/X
17%
4.36
2/1
7%
29.5
2/2
15%
3.88
2/X
8%
13.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
38%
-6.2pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.9pp
37%
Away Win
35%
+2.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.3pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stirling Albion EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Kelty Hearts EU Bookmakers 38%
-5% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
0.79/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/2.33
-51% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -39%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
299 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stirling Albion
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Kelty Hearts
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
6 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
28.10.2023 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 1-0 HT 0-0 Stirling Albion Stirling Albion İK1
26.08.2023 Stirling Albion Stirling Albion 1-0 HT 0-0 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK1
09.04.2022 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 1-1 HT 1-1 Stirling Albion Stirling Albion İK2
08.01.2022 Stirling Albion Stirling Albion 0-3 HT 0-1 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK2
30.10.2021 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts 1-1 HT 0-0 Stirling Albion Stirling Albion İK2
07.08.2021 Stirling Albion Stirling Albion 1-3 HT 0-2 Kelty Hearts Kelty Hearts İK2
POST-MATCH Stirling Albion vs Kelty Hearts
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stirling Albion ran out comfortable winners over Kelty Hearts 5-0. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (32% / 31% / 37%) promised a tight game; Stirling Albion found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kelty Hearts led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Stirling Albion and 1.50 for Kelty Hearts.

What was the final score of Stirling Albion vs Kelty Hearts?

Stirling Albion 5-0 Kelty Hearts in the Scotland - 1st Division on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stirling Albion vs Kelty Hearts?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kelty Hearts win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Stirling Albion 32%, draw 31%, Kelty Hearts 37%. The final score 5-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Kelty Hearts) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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