Alloa Athletic 0-5 Falkirk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 27 Jan 2024

Alloa Athletic
0-5 HT 0-1
Falkirk
📅27/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 ✗ 2nd Score 0-4 ✗
Scotland - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Alloa Athletic vs Falkirk Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
7.18
Draw
27%
4.62
Away
57%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.15
Over 2.5
54%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.06
2-3 Goals
39%
1.83
4-5 Goals
25%
3.0
6+ Goals
11%
9.46
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
14.0
1/2
9%
23.0
1/X
8%
21.75
X/1
5%
17.2
X/2
20%
3.41
X/X
14%
6.89
2/1
5%
34.0
2/2
28%
1.58
2/X
6%
21.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
11%
+4.7pp
27%
Draw
18%
+9.0pp
57%
Away Win
71%
-13.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
43%
+3.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
57%
-3.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
46%
+1.7pp
52%
BTTS No
54%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Alloa Athletic v Falkirk — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alloa Athletic EU Bookmakers 14%
Head to Head
AWAY Falkirk EU Bookmakers 75%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
0.81/1.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.31/0.74
+0% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +3%
33% Ball Possession 67%
5 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 7
204 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 496 · 86%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Alloa Athletic vs Falkirk Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alloa Athletic
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Falkirk
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
7 Corners 4
The Meetings
28.10.2023 Falkirk Falkirk 3-0 HT 3-0 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
26.08.2023 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 1-4 HT 0-2 Falkirk Falkirk İK1
22.04.2023 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 1-4 HT 0-2 Falkirk Falkirk İK1
18.02.2023 Falkirk Falkirk 1-0 HT 1-0 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic İK1
07.02.2023 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 1-1 HT 0-0 Falkirk Falkirk İK1
21.01.2023 Alloa Athletic Alloa Athletic 1-2 HT 1-1 Falkirk Falkirk İKK
POST-MATCH Alloa Athletic vs Falkirk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Falkirk cruised past Alloa Athletic 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Falkirk as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Falkirk led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Alloa Athletic and 2.50 for Falkirk.

What was the final score of Alloa Athletic vs Falkirk?

Alloa Athletic 0-5 Falkirk in the Scotland - 1st Division on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alloa Athletic vs Falkirk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Falkirk win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Alloa Athletic 16%, draw 27%, Falkirk 57%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Falkirk), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Falkirk) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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