Hamilton 1-1 Montrose — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.33
Draw
20%
4.81
Away
18%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.29
Over 2.5
56%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.88
No
57%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.52
2-3 Goals
46%
1.88
4-5 Goals
23%
2.83
6+ Goals
11%
8.01
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1.57
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
5%
20.65
X/1
21%
3.48
X/2
7%
16.9
X/X
7%
7.33
2/1
8%
21.75
2/2
7%
13.1
2/X
8%
21.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
71%
-9.0pp
20%
Draw
18%
+2.2pp
18%
Away Win
11%
+6.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
40%
+4.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
60%
-4.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.2pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hamilton EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Montrose EU Bookmakers 14%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -9%
2.75/0.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.94
+22% / +148% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +19%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
432 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hamilton
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Montrose
2.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
28.10.2023 Montrose Montrose 0-3 HT 0-1 Hamilton Hamilton İK1
26.08.2023 Hamilton Hamilton 1-0 HT 1-0 Montrose Montrose İK1
05.05.2001 Montrose Montrose 1-4 HT 0-1 Hamilton Hamilton İK2
01.05.2001 Montrose Montrose 0-2 HT 0-1 Hamilton Hamilton İK2
17.02.2001 Hamilton Hamilton 1-3 HT 1-2 Montrose Montrose İK2
19.08.2000 Hamilton Hamilton 6-0 HT 0-0 Montrose Montrose İK2
POST-MATCH Hamilton vs Montrose
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hamilton and Montrose couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Hamilton at 62% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hamilton had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Hamilton and 0.67 for Montrose.

What was the final score of Hamilton vs Montrose?

Hamilton 1-1 Montrose in the Scotland - 1st Division on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hamilton vs Montrose?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hamilton win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Hamilton 62%, draw 20%, Montrose 18%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hamilton) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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