Annan Athletic 3-0 Edinburgh City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - 1st Division, 27 Jan 2024

📅27/01/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.32
Draw
22%
4.95
Away
21%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
3.14
Over 2.5
53%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
7.36
2-3 Goals
42%
2.22
4-5 Goals
25%
2.39
6+ Goals
13%
4.42
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1.49
1/2
7%
34.0
1/X
6%
20.2
X/1
21%
3.77
X/2
7%
18.2
X/X
11%
9.25
2/1 EV+ ✗
14%
18.65
2/2
7%
11.9
2/X
5%
19.75
Value flag · 2/1 at 18.65 — our 14% vs market 2.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
71%
-13.8pp
22%
Draw
17%
+5.1pp
21%
Away Win
12%
+8.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
28%
+18.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
72%
-18.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.9pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Annan Athletic EU Bookmakers 76%
Head to Head
AWAY Edinburgh City EU Bookmakers 15%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +13%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +118% / +12%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
430 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Annan Athletic
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Edinburgh City
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
28.10.2023 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City 3-2 HT 2-1 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic İK1
26.08.2023 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic 3-2 HT 1-2 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City İK1
13.05.2022 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic 2-1 HT 2-0 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City İK2
10.05.2022 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City 2-0 HT 0-0 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic İK2
22.04.2022 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City 2-1 HT 2-1 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic İK2
19.02.2022 Annan Athletic Annan Athletic 2-1 HT 0-0 Edinburgh City Edinburgh City İK2
POST-MATCH Annan Athletic vs Edinburgh City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Annan Athletic swept aside Edinburgh City 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Annan Athletic as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Annan Athletic and 1.83 for Edinburgh City.

What was the final score of Annan Athletic vs Edinburgh City?

Annan Athletic 3-0 Edinburgh City in the Scotland - 1st Division on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Annan Athletic vs Edinburgh City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Annan Athletic win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Annan Athletic 57%, draw 22%, Edinburgh City 21%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Annan Athletic), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Annan Athletic) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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