St. Johnstone 0-2 Kilmarnock — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.17
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
37%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.54
Over 2.5
39%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.09
No
54%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.3
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
5.3
6+ Goals
8%
33.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
5.48
1/2
10%
31.5
1/X
7%
15.65
X/1
10%
6.44
X/2
13%
4.24
X/X
17%
3.84
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
14%
3.09
2/X
8%
15.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
28%
+2.9pp
32%
Draw
29%
+3.8pp
37%
Away Win
43%
-6.6pp
61%
Under 2.5
61%
+0.2pp
39%
Over 2.5
39%
-0.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.1pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Johnstone EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Kilmarnock EU Bookmakers 48%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
0.95/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.44
-19% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -42% / +18%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
209 · 65% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 72%
17.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.3
19.8 Crosses 30.8
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Johnstone
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Kilmarnock
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.09 xG 1.16
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 7
209 Passes 241
62% Pass Accuracy 67%
16 Box Touches 21
15 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 1
23.12.2023 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 2-1 HT 2-0 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKP
01.11.2023 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 2-1 HT 2-0 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKP
20.05.2023 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 0-1 HT 0-1 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKP
18.03.2023 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 1-1 HT 1-0 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKP
29.10.2022 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone 1-0 HT 1-0 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKP
05.10.2022 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 2-1 HT 1-0 St. Johnstone St. Johnstone İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Johnstone
0-2
AWAY Kilmarnock
1.19 xG 3.51
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
270 Passes 206
69% Pass Accuracy 62%
11 Box Touches 24
18 Crosses 22
POST-MATCH St. Johnstone vs Kilmarnock
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kilmarnock got the better of St. Johnstone 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 31% / 32% / 37% — and on the day Kilmarnock made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%) came in.

On the day, St. Johnstone had 54% of the ball to Kilmarnock's 46%, shots finished 11-17, expected goals 1.19 to 3.51.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Johnstone had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for St. Johnstone and 1.00 for Kilmarnock.

What was the final score of St. Johnstone vs Kilmarnock?

St. Johnstone 0-2 Kilmarnock in the Scotland - Premiership on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Johnstone vs Kilmarnock?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kilmarnock win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split St. Johnstone 31%, draw 32%, Kilmarnock 37%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kilmarnock), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kilmarnock) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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