Hearts 4-2 Livingston — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.49
Draw
25%
4.08
Away
22%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.0
Over 2.5
46%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
63%
-10.1pp
25%
Draw
21%
+3.7pp
22%
Away Win
16%
+6.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
46%
+8.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
54%
-8.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.6pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hearts EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Livingston EU Bookmakers 19%
+4% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -20%
1.91/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.51
+8% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -6%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
396 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 200 · 65%
32.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
25.6 Crosses 13.5
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hearts
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Livingston
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.67 xG 0.98
62% Ball Possession 38%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
356 Passes 180
74% Pass Accuracy 63%
29 Box Touches 19
23 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.01.2024 Livingston Livingston 1-2 HT 0-0 Hearts Hearts İKP
01.11.2023 Hearts Hearts 1-0 HT 0-0 Livingston Livingston İKP
29.01.2023 Livingston Livingston 0-0 HT 0-0 Hearts Hearts İKP
12.11.2022 Hearts Hearts 1-1 HT 0-0 Livingston Livingston İKP
03.09.2022 Livingston Livingston 1-0 HT 1-0 Hearts Hearts İKP
19.03.2022 Hearts Hearts 2-0 HT 1-0 Livingston Livingston İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hearts
4-2
AWAY Livingston
3.81 xG 0.97
62% Ball Possession 38%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
394 Passes 211
78% Pass Accuracy 68%
35 Box Touches 10
15 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hearts vs Livingston
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hearts beat Livingston 4-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hearts as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hearts had 62% of the ball to Livingston's 38%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 3.81 to 0.97.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hearts had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hearts and 0.50 for Livingston.

What was the final score of Hearts vs Livingston?

Hearts 4-2 Livingston in the Scotland - Premiership on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hearts vs Livingston?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hearts win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Hearts 53%, draw 25%, Livingston 22%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hearts) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hearts) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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