Longford Town 0-3 Bray Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ireland - 1st Division, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.94
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
46%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.78
Over 2.5
49%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
3.07
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.81
6+ Goals
9%
16.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
31%
-3.1pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.7pp
46%
Away Win
41%
+5.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.9pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Longford Town EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Bray Wanderers EU Bookmakers 45%
-10% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -6%
1.04/1.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.40
-21% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -5%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
267 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Longford Town
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Bray Wanderers
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.03.2024 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 1-1 HT 0-1 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
14.10.2023 Longford Town Longford Town 2-2 HT 0-2 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers İR1
07.08.2023 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 2-4 HT 1-0 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
22.04.2023 Longford Town Longford Town 1-1 HT 1-0 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers İR1
10.03.2023 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 0-0 HT 0-0 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
12.08.2022 Bray Wanderers Bray Wanderers 0-3 HT 0-2 Longford Town Longford Town İR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Longford Town
0-3
AWAY Bray Wanderers
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 11
0 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Longford Town vs Bray Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bray Wanderers cruised past Longford Town 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bray Wanderers as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Longford Town had 51% of the ball to Bray Wanderers's 49%, shots finished 7-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Longford Town had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Longford Town and 1.00 for Bray Wanderers.

What was the final score of Longford Town vs Bray Wanderers?

Longford Town 0-3 Bray Wanderers in the Ireland - 1st Division on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Longford Town vs Bray Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bray Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Longford Town 27%, draw 26%, Bray Wanderers 46%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bray Wanderers) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bray Wanderers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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