Onsala 2-3 Ljungskile — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.46
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
32%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.03
Over 2.5
48%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.6
No
52%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
37%
+7.0pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.1pp
32%
Away Win
36%
-4.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
45%
+6.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
55%
-6.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-10.9pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Onsala EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Ljungskile EU Bookmakers 39%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -15%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -28%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
289 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.6
POST-MATCH Onsala vs Ljungskile
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ljungskile squeezed past Onsala 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Onsala at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

What was the final score of Onsala vs Ljungskile?

Onsala 2-3 Ljungskile in the Sweden - 1st Division on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Onsala vs Ljungskile?

Before kick-off our model rated a Onsala win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Onsala 44%, draw 24%, Ljungskile 32%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Onsala) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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