Pitea IF 2-1 AFC Eskilstuna — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - 1st Division, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.09
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
32%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.97
Over 2.5
54%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
44%
+0.4pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.2pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+1.8pp
46%
Under 2.5
47%
-1.3pp
54%
Over 2.5
53%
+1.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.5pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pitea IF EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Eskilstuna EU Bookmakers 34%
-1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -40% / -40%
1.71/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/2.00
+5% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -23%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
322 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pitea IF
2-1
AWAY AFC Eskilstuna
41% Ball Possession 59%
13 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Pitea IF vs AFC Eskilstuna
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pitea IF squeezed past AFC Eskilstuna 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Pitea IF as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Pitea IF had 41% of the ball to AFC Eskilstuna's 59%, shots finished 13-17.

What was the final score of Pitea IF vs AFC Eskilstuna?

Pitea IF 2-1 AFC Eskilstuna in the Sweden - 1st Division on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pitea IF vs AFC Eskilstuna?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pitea IF win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Pitea IF 44%, draw 23%, AFC Eskilstuna 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pitea IF), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Pitea IF) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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