Bologna 0-0 Monza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 13 Apr 2024

Bologna
0-0 HT 0-0
Monza
📅13/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✓
Italy - Serie A – 2023/2024

Bologna vs Monza Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.53
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
21%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.74
Over 2.5
43%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.13
No
56%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
2.89
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.03
6+ Goals
9%
18.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.89 — our 30% vs market 28.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1.94
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
8%
17.75
X/1
17%
3.5
X/2
8%
12.0
X/X
9%
4.96
2/1
7%
26.0
2/2
8%
10.5
2/X
10%
18.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
61%
-8.6pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.5pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+5.1pp
57%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
43%
+1.7pp
56%
BTTS No
57%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bologna v Monza — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bologna EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Monza EU Bookmakers 19%
+7% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +5%
1.65/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.77
+21% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +13%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
404 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 79%
25.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.8
18.0 Crosses 10.3
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1

Bologna vs Monza Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bologna
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Monza
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.97 xG 0.85
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
409 Passes 349
85% Pass Accuracy 81%
20 Box Touches 14
23 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
28.09.2023 Monza Monza 0-0 HT 0-0 Bologna Bologna İTA
12.02.2023 Bologna Bologna 0-1 HT 0-1 Monza Monza İTA
31.10.2022 Monza Monza 1-2 HT 0-0 Bologna Bologna İTA

Bologna 0-0 Monza — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bologna
0-0
AWAY Monza
2.11 xG 0.43
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 0
10 Corners 0
473 Passes 275
88% Pass Accuracy 82%
31 Box Touches 10
22 Crosses 5
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Bologna vs Monza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bologna and Monza played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Bologna at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Bologna had 62% of the ball to Monza's 38%, shots finished 17-4, expected goals 2.11 to 0.43.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Bologna and 0.67 for Monza.

What was the final score of Bologna vs Monza?

Bologna 0-0 Monza in the Italy - Serie A on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bologna vs Monza?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bologna win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Bologna 52%, draw 27%, Monza 21%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Bologna) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bologna) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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