Lecce vs Empoli Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lecce v Empoli — Team-Based Signals
Lecce vs Empoli Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Lecce
İTA
1-0
HT 0-0
Lecce
İTA
1-1
HT 1-1
Empoli
İTA
2-1
HT 0-1
Lecce
İTB
2-2
HT 0-1
Empoli
İTB
2-2
HT 1-2
Lecce
İTB
Lecce 1-0 Empoli — Actual Match Statistics
Lecce nicked a narrow win over Empoli 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Lecce as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Lecce had 54% of the ball to Empoli's 46%, shots finished 14-3, expected goals 2.67 to 0.12 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Lecce's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Empoli led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Lecce and 1.50 for Empoli.
What was the final score of Lecce vs Empoli?
Lecce 1-0 Empoli in the Italy - Serie A on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lecce vs Empoli?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lecce win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Lecce 45%, draw 27%, Empoli 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lecce), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.