Virtus Verona 1-2 Pergolettese — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 13 Apr 2024

Virtus Verona
1-2 HT 0-1
Pergolettese
📅13/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Italy - Serie C – 2023/2024

Virtus Verona vs Pergolettese Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.67
Draw
34%
3.11
Away
36%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.56
Over 2.5
40%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.99
No
52%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.41
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
4.98
6+ Goals
8%
29.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
34%
-4.3pp
34%
Draw
29%
+5.2pp
36%
Away Win
37%
-1.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
60%
-0.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
40%
+0.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
46%
+1.7pp
52%
BTTS No
54%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Virtus Verona v Pergolettese — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Virtus Verona EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Pergolettese EU Bookmakers 40%
-1% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -28%
1.11/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/1.40
-5% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / -22%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
272 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0

Virtus Verona vs Pergolettese Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Virtus Verona
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Pergolettese
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
08.12.2023 Pergolettese Pergolettese 2-1 HT 0-0 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona İTC
26.03.2023 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona 1-0 HT 1-0 Pergolettese Pergolettese İTC
27.11.2022 Pergolettese Pergolettese 0-2 HT 0-0 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona İTC
29.01.2022 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona 0-2 HT 0-0 Pergolettese Pergolettese İTC
26.09.2021 Pergolettese Pergolettese 2-2 HT 0-1 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona İTC

Virtus Verona 1-2 Pergolettese — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Virtus Verona
1-2
AWAY Pergolettese
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Virtus Verona vs Pergolettese
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pergolettese squeezed past Virtus Verona 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (30% / 34% / 36%) promised a tight game; Pergolettese found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Virtus Verona had 46% of the ball to Pergolettese's 54%, shots finished 12-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Virtus Verona and 1.20 for Pergolettese.

What was the final score of Virtus Verona vs Pergolettese?

Virtus Verona 1-2 Pergolettese in the Italy - Serie C on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Virtus Verona vs Pergolettese?

Before kick-off our model rated an Pergolettese win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Virtus Verona 30%, draw 34%, Pergolettese 36%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pergolettese) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pergolettese) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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