Leiknir Reykjavik 1-4 Afturelding — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - VISA Bikar Cup, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
33%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
3.17
Over 2.5
63%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.31
No
37%
3.14
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
10%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
34%
+6.0pp
28%
Draw
23%
+4.3pp
33%
Away Win
43%
-10.4pp
36%
Under 2.5
28%
+8.3pp
64%
Over 2.5
72%
-8.3pp
63%
BTTS Yes
72%
-9.0pp
37%
BTTS No
28%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leiknir Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Afturelding EU Bookmakers 48%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-50% / +63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
386 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leiknir Reykjavik
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Afturelding
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.02.2024 Afturelding Afturelding 3-3 HT 2-2 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik İZLK
24.09.2023 Afturelding Afturelding 3-0 HT 3-0 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik İZL1
20.09.2023 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik 1-2 HT 0-1 Afturelding Afturelding İZL1
26.08.2023 Afturelding Afturelding 0-2 HT 0-1 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik İZL1
23.06.2023 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik 2-2 HT 1-0 Afturelding Afturelding İZL1
09.03.2022 Afturelding Afturelding 0-5 HT 0-1 Leiknir Reykjavik Leiknir Reykjavik İZLK
POST-MATCH Leiknir Reykjavik vs Afturelding
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Afturelding cruised past Leiknir Reykjavik 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 33% — and on the day Afturelding made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (63%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Leiknir Reykjavik and 1.67 for Afturelding.

What was the final score of Leiknir Reykjavik vs Afturelding?

Leiknir Reykjavik 1-4 Afturelding in the Iceland - VISA Bikar Cup on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leiknir Reykjavik vs Afturelding?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leiknir Reykjavik win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Leiknir Reykjavik 40%, draw 28%, Afturelding 33%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Leiknir Reykjavik) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Leiknir Reykjavik) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İZK More Iceland - VISA Bikar Cup
13 Apr 2024
17:00 Grotta vs Njardvik Analysis →