Badalona (K) 1-2 Real Betis (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
1.64
Draw
33%
3.45
Away
33%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.9
Over 2.5
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
57%
-23.5pp
33%
Draw
26%
+7.7pp
33%
Away Win
18%
+15.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
51%
-1.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.9pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Badalona (K) EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Betis (K) EU Bookmakers 21%
-17% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.20/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/1.20
-43% / +26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +0%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
30.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.5
25.4 Crosses 10.0
0.5 Yellow Cards 4.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Badalona (K)
1-2
AWAY Real Betis (K)
1.08 xG 2.97
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 3
265 Passes 143
67% Pass Accuracy 56%
31 Box Touches 16
23 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Badalona (K) vs Real Betis (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Betis (K) nicked a narrow win over Badalona (K) 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 33%) promised a tight game; Real Betis (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Badalona (K) had 61% of the ball to Real Betis (K)'s 39%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 1.08 to 2.97 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Real Betis (K)'s control.

What was the final score of Badalona (K) vs Real Betis (K)?

Badalona (K) 1-2 Real Betis (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Badalona (K) vs Real Betis (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Badalona (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Badalona (K) 33%, draw 33%, Real Betis (K) 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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