Barcelona (K) 5-1 Villarreal (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
1.11
Draw
33%
8.78
Away
33%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.0
Over 2.5
50%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
84%
-51.0pp
33%
Draw
8%
+25.4pp
33%
Away Win
8%
+25.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barcelona (K) EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Villarreal (K) EU Bookmakers 11%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
3.73/0.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.22
+113% / +87% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / +56%
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Total Shots 0
0 Shots on Target 0
0 Corners 0
0 · 0% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 0 · 0%
57.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.9
36.2 Crosses 16.2
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barcelona (K)
5-1
AWAY Villarreal (K)
3.05 xG 0.53
78% Ball Possession 22%
23 Total Shots 1
11 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 0
599 Passes 121
87% Pass Accuracy 58%
45 Box Touches 3
30 Crosses 1
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Barcelona (K) vs Villarreal (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barcelona (K) swept aside Villarreal (K) 5-1. Half-time: 1-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (33% / 33% / 33%) promised a tight game; Barcelona (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Barcelona (K) had 78% of the ball to Villarreal (K)'s 22%, shots finished 23-1, expected goals 3.05 to 0.53.

What was the final score of Barcelona (K) vs Villarreal (K)?

Barcelona (K) 5-1 Villarreal (K) in the İspanya - Premier Lig Kadınlar on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barcelona (K) vs Villarreal (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barcelona (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 33%, with the full match-result split Barcelona (K) 33%, draw 33%, Villarreal (K) 33%. The final score 5-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (33/33/33)
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