UE Santa Coloma 1-1 Penya Encarnada — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Andorra - 1st Division, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.49
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
23%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.91
Over 2.5
53%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.95
No
49%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
62%
-12.9pp
28%
Draw
22%
+5.7pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+7.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.1pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UE Santa Coloma EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Penya Encarnada EU Bookmakers 19%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.34/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.41/2.18
-19% / +60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -58% / -31%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
447 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UE Santa Coloma
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Penya Encarnada
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 4
17.03.2024 UE Santa Coloma UE Santa Coloma 1-0 HT 0-0 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada ANDK
18.02.2024 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada 0-0 HT 0-0 UE Santa Coloma UE Santa Coloma AND
25.11.2023 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada 1-2 HT 1-2 UE Santa Coloma UE Santa Coloma AND
16.04.2023 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada 4-1 HT 1-0 UE Santa Coloma UE Santa Coloma AND
29.01.2023 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada 1-1 HT 0-0 UE Santa Coloma UE Santa Coloma AND
06.11.2022 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada 0-2 HT 0-0 UE Santa Coloma UE Santa Coloma AND
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UE Santa Coloma
1-1
AWAY Penya Encarnada
55% Ball Possession 45%
24 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH UE Santa Coloma vs Penya Encarnada
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

UE Santa Coloma and Penya Encarnada shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was UE Santa Coloma at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, UE Santa Coloma had 55% of the ball to Penya Encarnada's 45%, shots finished 24-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, UE Santa Coloma had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for UE Santa Coloma and 1.00 for Penya Encarnada.

What was the final score of UE Santa Coloma vs Penya Encarnada?

UE Santa Coloma 1-1 Penya Encarnada in the Andorra - 1st Division on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UE Santa Coloma vs Penya Encarnada?

Before kick-off our model rated a UE Santa Coloma win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split UE Santa Coloma 50%, draw 28%, Penya Encarnada 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (UE Santa Coloma), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (UE Santa Coloma) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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