Zrinjski Mostar 1-0 Velez Mostar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.49
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
19%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.6
Over 2.5
46%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.4
No
60%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
63%
-6.1pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.3pp
19%
Away Win
14%
+4.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
59%
-5.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
41%
+5.1pp
40%
BTTS Yes
38%
+2.9pp
60%
BTTS No
62%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zrinjski Mostar EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Velez Mostar EU Bookmakers 17%
+9% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -11%
2.32/0.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/1.60
+30% / +60% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +6%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
412 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zrinjski Mostar
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Velez Mostar
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.11.2023 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar 3-0 HT 1-0 Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar BOSN
18.10.2023 Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar 3-0 HT 3-0 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSN
17.05.2023 Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar 1-0 HT 0-0 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSK
08.03.2023 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar 1-3 HT 1-2 Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar BOSN
12.10.2022 Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar 1-0 HT 1-0 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSN
10.05.2022 Zrinjski Mostar Zrinjski Mostar 1-1 HT 0-0 Velez Mostar Velez Mostar BOSN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zrinjski Mostar
1-0
AWAY Velez Mostar
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Zrinjski Mostar vs Velez Mostar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zrinjski Mostar edged past Velez Mostar 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Zrinjski Mostar as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, Zrinjski Mostar had 43% of the ball to Velez Mostar's 57%, shots finished 10-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zrinjski Mostar had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Zrinjski Mostar and 0.83 for Velez Mostar.

What was the final score of Zrinjski Mostar vs Velez Mostar?

Zrinjski Mostar 1-0 Velez Mostar in the Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zrinjski Mostar vs Velez Mostar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zrinjski Mostar win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Zrinjski Mostar 56%, draw 25%, Velez Mostar 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zrinjski Mostar), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Zrinjski Mostar) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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BOSN More Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League
13 Apr 2024
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