Zvijezda 09 Brgule 1-2 GOSK Gabela — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League, 13 Apr 2024

Zvijezda 09 Brgule
1-2 HT 1-2
GOSK Gabela
📅13/04/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League – 2023/2024

Zvijezda 09 Brgule vs GOSK Gabela Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.0
Draw
34%
3.28
Away
23%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
21%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
4%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-2.9pp
33%
Draw
27%
+6.2pp
23%
Away Win
27%
-3.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.1pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Zvijezda 09 Brgule v GOSK Gabela — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zvijezda 09 Brgule EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY GOSK Gabela EU Bookmakers 30%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +60% / +60%
1.45/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
+1% / -47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +138% / +31%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
366 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0

Zvijezda 09 Brgule vs GOSK Gabela Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zvijezda 09 Brgule
0W-0D-2L
AWAY GOSK Gabela
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
65% Ball Possession 35%
14 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
12.11.2023 Zvijezda 09 Brgule Zvijezda 09 Brgule 1-2 HT 0-1 GOSK Gabela GOSK Gabela BOSN
12.08.2023 GOSK Gabela GOSK Gabela 2-0 HT 1-0 Zvijezda 09 Brgule Zvijezda 09 Brgule BOSN
POST-MATCH Zvijezda 09 Brgule vs GOSK Gabela
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

GOSK Gabela nicked a narrow win over Zvijezda 09 Brgule 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Zvijezda 09 Brgule at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, GOSK Gabela led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Zvijezda 09 Brgule and 2.00 for GOSK Gabela.

What was the final score of Zvijezda 09 Brgule vs GOSK Gabela?

Zvijezda 09 Brgule 1-2 GOSK Gabela in the Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zvijezda 09 Brgule vs GOSK Gabela?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zvijezda 09 Brgule win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Zvijezda 09 Brgule 43%, draw 33%, GOSK Gabela 23%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Zvijezda 09 Brgule), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zvijezda 09 Brgule) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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BOSN More Bosnia and Herzegovina - Premier League
13 Apr 2024
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