FC Helsingor 2-2 Hillerod — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 13 Apr 2024

FC Helsingor
2-2 HT 2-0
Hillerod
📅13/04/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Denmark 1st Division – 2023/2024

FC Helsingor vs Hillerod Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.32
Draw
21%
3.54
Away
46%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.68
No
52%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.64
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
21%
3.32
6+ Goals
12%
12.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.64 — our 26% vs market 22.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
5.49
1/2
6%
23.6
1/X
5%
14.1
X/1
10%
7.56
X/2
19%
4.4
X/X
10%
5.05
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
21%
2.58
2/X
6%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
27%
+5.7pp
21%
Draw
25%
-3.5pp
46%
Away Win
48%
-2.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.4pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

FC Helsingor v Hillerod — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Helsingor EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Hillerod EU Bookmakers 52%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.18/1.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/0.79
+35% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +150%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
372 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 76%
16.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.9
15.4 Crosses 22.8
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9

FC Helsingor vs Hillerod Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Helsingor
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Hillerod
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.66 xG 1.06
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 3
321 Passes 386
71% Pass Accuracy 77%
13 Box Touches 18
13 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.03.2024 Hillerod Hillerod 4-2 HT 2-1 FC Helsingor FC Helsingor DAN1
23.08.2023 FC Helsingor FC Helsingor 1-6 HT 0-2 Hillerod Hillerod DAN1
03.03.2023 FC Helsingor FC Helsingor 2-0 HT 1-0 Hillerod Hillerod DAN1
10.09.2022 Hillerod Hillerod 0-2 HT 0-0 FC Helsingor FC Helsingor DAN1

FC Helsingor 2-2 Hillerod — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Helsingor
2-2
AWAY Hillerod
0.91 xG 1.56
32% Ball Possession 68%
10 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 9
0 Corners 1
170 Passes 485
58% Pass Accuracy 80%
8 Box Touches 32
9 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FC Helsingor vs Hillerod
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Helsingor and Hillerod couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Hillerod at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, FC Helsingor had 32% of the ball to Hillerod's 68%, shots finished 10-19, expected goals 0.91 to 1.56.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for FC Helsingor and 2.50 for Hillerod.

What was the final score of FC Helsingor vs Hillerod?

FC Helsingor 2-2 Hillerod in the Denmark 1st Division on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Helsingor vs Hillerod?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hillerod win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split FC Helsingor 32%, draw 21%, Hillerod 46%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hillerod) ✗ BTTS No
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