IFK Mariehamn 2-2 KuPS Kuopio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.69
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
44%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.75
Over 2.5
47%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.94
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
3.97
6+ Goals
11%
18.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
6.47
1/2
10%
26.0
1/X
7%
14.6
X/1
13%
8.15
X/2
11%
4.17
X/X
13%
4.4
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
24%
2.52
2/X
7%
13.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
24%
+4.9pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.1pp
45%
Away Win
49%
-4.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
53%
-0.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
47%
+0.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.2pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME IFK Mariehamn EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY KuPS Kuopio EU Bookmakers 54%
-15% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +5%
0.99/1.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/0.69
-21% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -19%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
270 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 464 · 84%
16.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.7
16.2 Crosses 22.8
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME IFK Mariehamn
1W-2D-3L
AWAY KuPS Kuopio
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.25 xG 1.63
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
244 Passes 517
74% Pass Accuracy 86%
12 Box Touches 28
10 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 2
05.07.2023 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn 1-1 HT 0-1 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİK
27.06.2023 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 0-1 HT 0-1 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn FİN
30.04.2023 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn 0-2 HT 0-0 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
14.08.2022 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 1-0 HT 0-0 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn FİN
08.05.2022 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn 1-1 HT 0-0 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
05.09.2021 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn 0-1 HT 0-0 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME IFK Mariehamn
2-2
AWAY KuPS Kuopio
1.25 xG 1.86
30% Ball Possession 70%
7 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
186 Passes 557
66% Pass Accuracy 87%
11 Box Touches 38
11 Crosses 36
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH IFK Mariehamn vs KuPS Kuopio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

IFK Mariehamn and KuPS Kuopio couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was KuPS Kuopio at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, IFK Mariehamn had 30% of the ball to KuPS Kuopio's 70%, shots finished 7-16, expected goals 1.25 to 1.86.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, KuPS Kuopio led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for IFK Mariehamn and 1.00 for KuPS Kuopio.

What was the final score of IFK Mariehamn vs KuPS Kuopio?

IFK Mariehamn 2-2 KuPS Kuopio in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for IFK Mariehamn vs KuPS Kuopio?

Before kick-off our model rated an KuPS Kuopio win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split IFK Mariehamn 29%, draw 27%, KuPS Kuopio 45%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (KuPS Kuopio) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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