Ilves Tampere vs Gnistan Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ilves Tampere v Gnistan — Team-Based Signals
Ilves Tampere 4-6 Gnistan — Actual Match Statistics
Gnistan saw off Ilves Tampere 6-4 away from home. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 10 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Ilves Tampere at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Ilves Tampere had 67% of the ball to Gnistan's 33%, shots finished 14-12, expected goals 2.48 to 2.28.
What was the final score of Ilves Tampere vs Gnistan?
Ilves Tampere 4-6 Gnistan in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ilves Tampere vs Gnistan?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ilves Tampere win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Ilves Tampere 46%, draw 27%, Gnistan 27%. The final score 4-6 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ilves Tampere), Under 2.5 went the other way.