RC Strasbourg 3-1 Reims — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Ligue 1, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.27
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
37%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.9
Over 2.5
46%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.38
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
3.51
6+ Goals
10%
13.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.38 — our 29% vs market 24.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.36
1/2
6%
30.5
1/X
9%
12.85
X/1
7%
5.2
X/2
14%
5.99
X/X
13%
4.61
2/1
7%
27.0
2/2
17%
4.11
2/X
8%
13.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
40%
-7.2pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.1pp
37%
Away Win
33%
+4.1pp
54%
Under 2.5
49%
+5.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
51%
-5.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.0pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME RC Strasbourg EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Reims EU Bookmakers 37%
-10% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / +3%
1.35/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.41
-19% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +2%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
335 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 77%
19.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
20.2 Crosses 16.6
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME RC Strasbourg
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Reims
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.14 xG 1.39
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
350 Passes 354
77% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 21
19 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
01.12.2023 Reims Reims 2-1 HT 2-0 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg FR1
23.04.2023 Reims Reims 0-2 HT 0-2 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg FR1
21.08.2022 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg 1-1 HT 1-0 Reims Reims FR1
06.03.2022 Reims Reims 1-1 HT 0-0 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg FR1
21.11.2021 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg 1-1 HT 0-1 Reims Reims FR1
31.01.2021 RC Strasbourg RC Strasbourg 0-1 HT 0-0 Reims Reims FR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME RC Strasbourg
3-1
AWAY Reims
2.22 xG 0.53
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
394 Passes 442
88% Pass Accuracy 90%
22 Box Touches 10
19 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH RC Strasbourg vs Reims
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RC Strasbourg got the better of Reims 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 30% / 37%) promised a tight game; RC Strasbourg found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, RC Strasbourg had 48% of the ball to Reims's 52%, shots finished 13-8, expected goals 2.22 to 0.53.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Reims led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for RC Strasbourg and 1.00 for Reims.

What was the final score of RC Strasbourg vs Reims?

RC Strasbourg 3-1 Reims in the France - Ligue 1 on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for RC Strasbourg vs Reims?

Before kick-off our model rated an Reims win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split RC Strasbourg 33%, draw 30%, Reims 37%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Reims) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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