Guingamp (K) 3-3 PSG (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Women's 1st Divisioni, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
13%
12.23
Draw
17%
7.78
Away
70%
1.1
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.98
Over 2.5
55%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.29
No
54%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
4%
X/2
30%
X/X
4%
2/1
4%
2/2
34%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
13%
Home Win
5%
+8.2pp
17%
Draw
9%
+7.1pp
70%
Away Win
85%
-15.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
30%
+15.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
70%
-15.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
40%
+6.1pp
54%
BTTS No
60%
-6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guingamp (K) EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY PSG (K) EU Bookmakers 91%
+37% / +37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.47/2.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.81/0.61
+49% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / -40%
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
221 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 469 · 83%
10.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.7
9.5 Crosses 22.9
3.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guingamp (K)
0W-0D-1L
AWAY PSG (K)
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 5.00
0.16 xG 3.04
28% Ball Possession 72%
3 Total Shots 23
1 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 6
145 Passes 510
64% Pass Accuracy 89%
10 Box Touches 42
11 Crosses 28
0 Yellow Cards 1
17.02.2024 PSG (K) PSG (K) 5-0 HT 2-0 Guingamp (K) Guingamp (K) FRK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guingamp (K)
3-3
AWAY PSG (K)
1.32 xG 1.27
28% Ball Possession 72%
7 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 6
125 Passes 469
58% Pass Accuracy 86%
8 Box Touches 32
10 Crosses 32
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Guingamp (K) vs PSG (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guingamp (K) and PSG (K) couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 1-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. PSG (K) carried 70% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Guingamp (K) had 28% of the ball to PSG (K)'s 72%, shots finished 7-13, expected goals 1.32 to 1.27.

What was the final score of Guingamp (K) vs PSG (K)?

Guingamp (K) 3-3 PSG (K) in the France - Women's 1st Divisioni on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guingamp (K) vs PSG (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an PSG (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Guingamp (K) 13%, draw 17%, PSG (K) 70%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (PSG (K)), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (PSG (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
FRK1 More France - Women's 1st Divisioni
13 Apr 2024
15:30 Dijon (K) vs Le Havre (K) Analysis →