Gimhae City 1-0 Paju Citizen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.53
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
20%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.82
Over 2.5
45%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
22%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
61%
-8.0pp
27%
Draw
23%
+3.8pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+4.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
51%
+4.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
49%
-4.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.0pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimhae City EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Paju Citizen EU Bookmakers 20%
+12% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.93/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.22/1.33
+12% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -73% / +20%
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
433 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimhae City
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Paju Citizen
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
24.06.2023 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen 1-2 HT 1-2 Gimhae City Gimhae City GK3L
12.03.2023 Gimhae City Gimhae City 0-1 HT 0-1 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen GK3L
18.06.2022 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen 2-1 HT 1-1 Gimhae City Gimhae City GK3L
05.03.2022 Gimhae City Gimhae City 1-2 HT 0-2 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen GK3L
21.08.2021 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen 1-2 HT 0-0 Gimhae City Gimhae City GK3L
18.04.2021 Gimhae City Gimhae City 0-1 HT 0-0 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen GK3L
POST-MATCH Gimhae City vs Paju Citizen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimhae City nicked a narrow win over Paju Citizen 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Gimhae City as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paju Citizen led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Gimhae City and 1.33 for Paju Citizen.

What was the final score of Gimhae City vs Paju Citizen?

Gimhae City 1-0 Paju Citizen in the South Kore - K3 League on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimhae City vs Paju Citizen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimhae City win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Gimhae City 53%, draw 27%, Paju Citizen 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gimhae City), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gimhae City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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