Pocheon 1-1 Changwon City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.19
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
40%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.75
Over 2.5
49%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.81
No
56%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
13%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
42%
-8.8pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.0pp
39%
Away Win
31%
+8.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
53%
-1.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
47%
+1.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.6pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pocheon EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Changwon City EU Bookmakers 34%
-1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -7%
1.24/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/0.98
+6% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +19%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
356 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pocheon
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Changwon City
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
11.11.2023 Changwon City Changwon City 0-0 HT 0-0 Pocheon Pocheon GK3L
17.06.2023 Pocheon Pocheon 0-0 HT 0-0 Changwon City Changwon City GK3L
29.10.2022 Changwon City Changwon City 2-1 HT 1-0 Pocheon Pocheon GK3L
03.09.2022 Pocheon Pocheon 0-0 HT 0-0 Changwon City Changwon City GK3L
05.06.2022 Pocheon Pocheon 1-0 HT 1-0 Changwon City Changwon City GK3L
07.05.2022 Changwon City Changwon City 2-1 HT 0-1 Pocheon Pocheon GK3L
POST-MATCH Pocheon vs Changwon City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pocheon and Changwon City couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (33% / 27% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Changwon City led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Pocheon and 0.67 for Changwon City.

What was the final score of Pocheon vs Changwon City?

Pocheon 1-1 Changwon City in the South Kore - K3 League on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pocheon vs Changwon City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Changwon City win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Pocheon 33%, draw 27%, Changwon City 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Changwon City), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Changwon City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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