Bucheon 1995 1-1 Seongnam — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.6
Over 2.5
40%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.95
No
58%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.55
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
15%
4.64
6+ Goals
7%
25.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.55 — our 35% vs market 33.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
-0.1pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.5pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+1.6pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.0pp
58%
BTTS No
53%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bucheon 1995 EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Seongnam EU Bookmakers 32%
+14% / +29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.38/0.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.07
+7% / +95% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +21%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
361 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 75%
17.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.5 Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bucheon 1995
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Seongnam
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.27 xG 1.85
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
272 Passes 254
70% Pass Accuracy 67%
19 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 1
21.08.2023 Seongnam Seongnam 2-2 HT 1-0 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 GKOR2
24.06.2023 Seongnam Seongnam 0-1 HT 0-0 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 GKOR2
04.03.2023 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 1-0 HT 1-0 Seongnam Seongnam GKOR2
30.09.2018 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 0-1 HT 0-0 Seongnam Seongnam GKOR2
27.08.2018 Seongnam Seongnam 2-1 HT 1-0 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 GKOR2
30.06.2018 Bucheon 1995 Bucheon 1995 1-2 HT 0-0 Seongnam Seongnam GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bucheon 1995
1-1
AWAY Seongnam
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bucheon 1995 vs Seongnam
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bucheon 1995 and Seongnam shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Bucheon 1995 at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (58%) missed.

On the day, Bucheon 1995 had 50% of the ball to Seongnam's 50%, shots finished 7-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Seongnam led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Bucheon 1995 and 1.17 for Seongnam.

What was the final score of Bucheon 1995 vs Seongnam?

Bucheon 1995 1-1 Seongnam in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bucheon 1995 vs Seongnam?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bucheon 1995 win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Bucheon 1995 42%, draw 27%, Seongnam 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Bucheon 1995), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bucheon 1995) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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