Gyeongnam FC 1-1 Cheongju FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.0
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
35%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.68
No
49%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.5
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
22%
3.41
6+ Goals
11%
12.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.5 — our 27% vs market 23.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
46%
-10.0pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.3pp
35%
Away Win
27%
+7.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.2pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.5pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gyeongnam FC EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Cheongju FC EU Bookmakers 31%
-19% / -38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.26/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.90
-10% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -31%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
353 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 72%
21.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.3 Crosses
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gyeongnam FC
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Cheongju FC
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
22.10.2023 Cheongju FC Cheongju FC 1-1 HT 1-0 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC GKOR2
27.05.2023 Cheongju FC Cheongju FC 0-2 HT 0-1 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC GKOR2
18.03.2023 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC 2-2 HT 2-2 Cheongju FC Cheongju FC GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gyeongnam FC
1-1
AWAY Cheongju FC
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gyeongnam FC vs Cheongju FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gyeongnam FC and Cheongju FC shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 29% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Gyeongnam FC had 61% of the ball to Cheongju FC's 39%, shots finished 17-12.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Gyeongnam FC had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Gyeongnam FC and 1.00 for Cheongju FC.

What was the final score of Gyeongnam FC vs Cheongju FC?

Gyeongnam FC 1-1 Cheongju FC in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gyeongnam FC vs Cheongju FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gyeongnam FC win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Gyeongnam FC 36%, draw 29%, Cheongju FC 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Gyeongnam FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gyeongnam FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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