AFC Amsterdamsche 3-1 Jong Sparta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.02
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
41%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.43
Over 2.5
62%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.46
No
38%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
26%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
46%
-12.2pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.1pp
40%
Away Win
30%
+10.0pp
38%
Under 2.5
38%
+0.0pp
62%
Over 2.5
62%
-0.0pp
62%
BTTS Yes
64%
-1.8pp
38%
BTTS No
36%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Amsterdamsche EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Jong Sparta EU Bookmakers 34%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +31% / +31%
1.66/1.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.28/0.75
+6% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +56% / +88%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
324 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Amsterdamsche
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Jong Sparta
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 0
11.11.2023 Jong Sparta Jong Sparta 0-0 HT 0-0 AFC Amsterdamsche AFC Amsterdamsche HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Amsterdamsche
3-1
AWAY Jong Sparta
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH AFC Amsterdamsche vs Jong Sparta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Amsterdamsche beat Jong Sparta 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 26% / 40%) promised a tight game; AFC Amsterdamsche found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, AFC Amsterdamsche had 55% of the ball to Jong Sparta's 45%, shots finished 16-8.

What was the final score of AFC Amsterdamsche vs Jong Sparta?

AFC Amsterdamsche 3-1 Jong Sparta in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Amsterdamsche vs Jong Sparta?

Before kick-off our model rated an Jong Sparta win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split AFC Amsterdamsche 33%, draw 26%, Jong Sparta 40%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Jong Sparta) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Jong Sparta) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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