Excelsior Maassluis 2-0 Rijnsburgse Boys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Tweede Divisie, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒15:40 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.8
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
39%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.38
Over 2.5
47%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.46
No
54%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
12%
X/1
8%
X/2
19%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
32%
+3.3pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.8pp
39%
Away Win
44%
-4.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
38%
+15.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
62%
-15.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
64%
-18.2pp
54%
BTTS No
36%
+18.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Excelsior Maassluis EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Rijnsburgse Boys EU Bookmakers 48%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
0.34/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/0.97
-72% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +26%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
256 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Excelsior Maassluis
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Rijnsburgse Boys
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 5.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 0
13.02.2024 Rijnsburgse Boys Rijnsburgse Boys 5-0 HT 4-0 Excelsior Maassluis Excelsior Maassluis HOLTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Excelsior Maassluis
2-0
AWAY Rijnsburgse Boys
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 13
9 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Excelsior Maassluis vs Rijnsburgse Boys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Excelsior Maassluis saw off Rijnsburgse Boys 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 25% / 39%) promised a tight game; Excelsior Maassluis found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Excelsior Maassluis had 50% of the ball to Rijnsburgse Boys's 50%, shots finished 15-13.

What was the final score of Excelsior Maassluis vs Rijnsburgse Boys?

Excelsior Maassluis 2-0 Rijnsburgse Boys in the Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Excelsior Maassluis vs Rijnsburgse Boys?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rijnsburgse Boys win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Excelsior Maassluis 36%, draw 25%, Rijnsburgse Boys 39%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Rijnsburgse Boys) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rijnsburgse Boys) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HOLTW More Netherlands - Tweede Divisie
13 Apr 2024
15:30 ACV vs Scheveningen Analysis →
15:30 Lisse vs ADO 20 Analysis →
15:30 HHC Hardenberg vs De Treffers Analysis →
15:30 Noordwijk vs Quick Boys Analysis →
16:00 AFC Amsterdamsche vs Jong Sparta Analysis →
16:00 Kozakken Boys vs SV Spakenburg Analysis →