Newcastle United U21 1-3 Fulham U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League 2 (League 1), 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
4.71
Draw
23%
4.62
Away
61%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
3.59
Over 2.5
64%
1.26
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.39
No
41%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
14%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
20%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
5%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
39%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
18%
-1.7pp
23%
Draw
18%
+5.1pp
60%
Away Win
64%
-3.4pp
36%
Under 2.5
24%
+11.8pp
64%
Over 2.5
76%
-11.8pp
59%
BTTS Yes
68%
-8.9pp
41%
BTTS No
32%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newcastle United U21 EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Fulham U21 EU Bookmakers 69%
-30% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.96/2.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.82/0.47
-5% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +101% / -57%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
281 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 414 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.0 Crosses 33.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 0.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Newcastle United U21
1-3
AWAY Fulham U21
1.56 xG 1.57
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 9
296 Passes 450
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
11 Crosses 32
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Newcastle United U21 vs Fulham U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fulham U21 got the better of Newcastle United U21 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Fulham U21 as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Newcastle United U21 had 41% of the ball to Fulham U21's 59%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 1.56 to 1.57.

What was the final score of Newcastle United U21 vs Fulham U21?

Newcastle United U21 1-3 Fulham U21 in the England - Premier League 2 (League 1) on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newcastle United U21 vs Fulham U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fulham U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Newcastle United U21 16%, draw 23%, Fulham U21 60%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fulham U21), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Fulham U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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