Nara Club 2-2 Matsumoto Yamaga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.57
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
33%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.64
Over 2.5
49%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
35%
+4.3pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.7pp
33%
Away Win
37%
-3.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
57%
-5.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
43%
+5.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.1pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nara Club EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Matsumoto Yamaga EU Bookmakers 40%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -11%
1.18/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.57
-10% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -25%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
293 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nara Club
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Matsumoto Yamaga
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 0
02.12.2023 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga 0-1 HT 0-1 Nara Club Nara Club JAP3
05.03.2023 Nara Club Nara Club 0-2 HT 0-1 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nara Club
2-2
AWAY Matsumoto Yamaga
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Nara Club vs Matsumoto Yamaga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nara Club and Matsumoto Yamaga shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (39% / 27% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Nara Club had 49% of the ball to Matsumoto Yamaga's 51%, shots finished 10-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Nara Club and 1.00 for Matsumoto Yamaga.

What was the final score of Nara Club vs Matsumoto Yamaga?

Nara Club 2-2 Matsumoto Yamaga in the Japan - J3 League on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nara Club vs Matsumoto Yamaga?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nara Club win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Nara Club 39%, draw 27%, Matsumoto Yamaga 33%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Nara Club) ✗ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JAP3 More Japan - J3 League
13 Apr 2024
08:00 Sagamihara vs Fukushima United Analysis →