Sagamihara 1-0 Fukushima United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.38
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
30%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.54
Over 2.5
34%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.03
No
61%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
4%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
38%
+5.0pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.3pp
30%
Away Win
33%
-2.7pp
66%
Under 2.5
61%
+5.1pp
34%
Over 2.5
39%
-5.1pp
39%
BTTS Yes
45%
-6.2pp
61%
BTTS No
55%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sagamihara EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Fukushima United EU Bookmakers 37%
+11% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +7%
1.23/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.11
-5% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +8%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
288 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sagamihara
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Fukushima United
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
24.09.2023 Fukushima United Fukushima United 1-1 HT 0-1 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP3
12.03.2023 Sagamihara Sagamihara 2-1 HT 0-0 Fukushima United Fukushima United JAP3
30.08.2022 Sagamihara Sagamihara 1-3 HT 0-0 Fukushima United Fukushima United JAP3
08.11.2020 Fukushima United Fukushima United 0-0 HT 0-0 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP3
05.09.2020 Sagamihara Sagamihara 3-2 HT 2-0 Fukushima United Fukushima United JAP3
02.11.2014 Sagamihara Sagamihara 1-0 HT 0-0 Fukushima United Fukushima United JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sagamihara
1-0
AWAY Fukushima United
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Sagamihara vs Fukushima United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sagamihara squeezed past Fukushima United 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sagamihara as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Sagamihara had 45% of the ball to Fukushima United's 55%, shots finished 7-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sagamihara had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sagamihara and 1.17 for Fukushima United.

What was the final score of Sagamihara vs Fukushima United?

Sagamihara 1-0 Fukushima United in the Japan - J3 League on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sagamihara vs Fukushima United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sagamihara win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Sagamihara 43%, draw 27%, Fukushima United 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sagamihara), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sagamihara) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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