Municipal Liberia 1-0 Guanacasteca — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 13 Apr 2024

Municipal Liberia
1-0 HT 1-0
Guanacasteca
📅13/04/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Costa Rica - Premier League – 2023/2024

Municipal Liberia vs Guanacasteca Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.72
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
29%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.86
Over 2.5
40%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.82
No
58%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
54%
-8.5pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.0pp
29%
Away Win
20%
+8.6pp
60%
Under 2.5
50%
+10.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
50%
-10.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
51%
-9.0pp
58%
BTTS No
49%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Municipal Liberia v Guanacasteca — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Municipal Liberia EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Guanacasteca EU Bookmakers 23%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +11%
2.39/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.50
+34% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +11%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
367 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 225 · 70%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
0.5 Yellow Cards 2.8

Municipal Liberia vs Guanacasteca Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Municipal Liberia
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Guanacasteca
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
22.02.2024 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca 1-1 HT 1-0 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
23.11.2023 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca 4-2 HT 2-1 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
16.09.2023 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 0-1 HT 0-1 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTA
14.03.2021 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 0-0 HT 0-0 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSB
30.01.2021 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca 0-0 HT 0-0 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSB
24.10.2020 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca 1-0 HT 0-0 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSB

Municipal Liberia 1-0 Guanacasteca — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Municipal Liberia
1-0
AWAY Guanacasteca
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Municipal Liberia vs Guanacasteca
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Municipal Liberia edged past Guanacasteca 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Municipal Liberia as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Municipal Liberia had 44% of the ball to Guanacasteca's 56%, shots finished 11-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guanacasteca led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Municipal Liberia and 1.17 for Guanacasteca.

What was the final score of Municipal Liberia vs Guanacasteca?

Municipal Liberia 1-0 Guanacasteca in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Municipal Liberia vs Guanacasteca?

Before kick-off our model rated a Municipal Liberia win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Municipal Liberia 46%, draw 25%, Guanacasteca 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Municipal Liberia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Municipal Liberia) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →