Guanacasteca 1-1 Municipal Liberia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Costa Rica - Premier League, 22 Feb 2024

📅22/02/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.25
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.91
Over 2.5
53%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
41%
-1.1pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.1pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+0.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.0pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guanacasteca EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Municipal Liberia EU Bookmakers 37%
+5% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.54/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.50/2.50
+9% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +95% / -50%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
305 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guanacasteca
3W-2D-0L
AWAY Municipal Liberia
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 0.40
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 4
23.11.2023 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca 4-2 HT 2-1 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSTA
16.09.2023 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 0-1 HT 0-1 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSTA
14.03.2021 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia 0-0 HT 0-0 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca KOSB
30.01.2021 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca 0-0 HT 0-0 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSB
24.10.2020 Guanacasteca Guanacasteca 1-0 HT 0-0 Municipal Liberia Municipal Liberia KOSB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guanacasteca
1-1
AWAY Municipal Liberia
43% Ball Possession 57%
5 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 13
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Guanacasteca vs Municipal Liberia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guanacasteca and Municipal Liberia shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 27% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Guanacasteca had 43% of the ball to Municipal Liberia's 57%, shots finished 5-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Guanacasteca had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Guanacasteca and 0.40 for Municipal Liberia.

What was the final score of Guanacasteca vs Municipal Liberia?

Guanacasteca 1-1 Municipal Liberia in the Costa Rica - Premier League on 22/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guanacasteca vs Municipal Liberia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guanacasteca win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Guanacasteca 39%, draw 27%, Municipal Liberia 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Guanacasteca), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Guanacasteca) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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